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Energy Market Impact of Ceasefire
Percentage change in energy commodity futures following the US-Iran ceasefire agreement.
Primary Sources
US-Iran ceasefire: When will fuel prices go down? - BBC
The US and Iran have made a two-week ceasefire agreement, which includes Iran reopening of the Strait of Hormuz for ships to pass through safely.Brent crude oil prices dropped by nearly 15% to roughly $95 (£70.68) per barrel after the announcement, a significant decline from highs of nearly $120 a barrel earlier in the war. But does that mean our fuel prices are suddenly going to be cheaper? The BBC's Asia business reporter, Nick Marsh, looked into what this means for prices.
US-Iran, two-week ceasefire: gas and oil prices drop
Condividi sui social media: Following more than a month of military escalation, the United States and Iran have reached an agreement on a temporary two-week ceasefire. US President Trump announced the agreement just hours before the deadline of yet another ultimatum, marking a turning point in a conflict that has triggered one of the most serious global energy crises in recent years. In addition, there are an unknown number of casualties and displaced civilians across Iran and Lebanon. The ceasefire is conditional upon the immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic choke-point that handles around 20% of the world’s oil supply – and more besides – and, indeed, the announcement of the agreement had an immediate positive impact on the markets. Even if the truce holds, however, the effects of the crisis will be felt for months to come, while the situation continues to be precarious. Israel's attacks on Lebanon persist, despite Pakistan confirming that the agreement also covers Beirut. This truce, moreover, appeared more necessary for the United States than for Iran, considering the difficulties Washington had faced in the preceding days (particularly with the costly operation to recover the pilot shot down by Tehran) and the growing protests at home against Donald Trump, even from within the Republican Party. Geopolitics and energy On the diplomatic front, the ceasefire represents only a brief respite in anticipation of broader negotiations. The talks, scheduled to take place in Islamabad under Pakistan’s mediation, will be centred on two negotiation frameworks: a 10-point plan proposed by Iran and a 15-point plan drawn up by the United States. Among the main issues are Iran's nuclear programme, the management of Tehran's military capabilities, the role of regional armed groups and the lifting of international sanctions. Iran is also seeking economic compensation for damages suffered and the withdrawal of US forces from the region, as well as recognition of its right to enrich uranium. For its part, the United States is seeking to limit Iran’s nuclear ambitions and reduce Tehran’s geopolitical influence in West Asia. The gap between the parties remains significant, with both claiming the truce as a strategic victory. There is still a high risk of hostilities resuming, especially in light of the statements made by Iran's Supreme National Security Council, which has threatened a severe response in the event of any violations. The agreement’s effec...
Oil plunges, stock futures rally on Trump floating Iran ceasefire
4 hours ago ... Oil prices plunged and U.S. stock futures soared after President Donald Trump announced "a double sided ceasefire" in the war with Iran.
Oil and gas prices plunge after U.S. and Iran agree to ceasefire
2 hours ago ... Oil and gas prices fell after the U.S. and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire in exchange for a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Read on.
