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Central Bank Rate Forecast
Projected trend for the Bank of Thailand one-day repurchase rate.
Primary Sources
Bank of Thailand Set to Hold Key Rate as Oil Shock Threatens to Derail ...
The Bank of Thailand will likely keep borrowing costs at their lowest in nearly four years to shield the fragile economy from the impact of the global oil shock.
Bank of Thailand to keep interest rates steady at 1.0% through 2026
All 28 economists surveyed by Reuters between April 21 and 27 forecast the Bank of Thailand to leave its one-day repurchase rate unchanged at 1.00 percent. A strong majority, 24 of 28, expected the policy rate to remain at that level through end-2026, while four tipped a 25-basis-point cut by year-end.
Bank of Thailand Reduces Key Interest Rate to Combat Economic ...
On February 26, 2025, the Bank of Thailand announced a quarter-point reduction in its key interest rate, bringing the one-day repurchase rate down to 2.00%. The decision was approved by the Monetary Policy Committee with a vote of 6-1, indicating a response to what the bank described as 'clearer downside risks' to the economy.
Bank of Thailand Cuts Interest Rate Amid Trade Turmoil - Thai Times
The central bank's decision to lower its policy rate is expected to continue this year, with some predicting a year-end rate of 1.25%. This would bring the rate below the levels seen in 2018-19, when Thailand weathered an earlier US-China trade war with a less direct impact.
