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Projected Regional Rainfall Impact of El Niño (May-July 2026)
Comparative impact of El Niño conditions on regional precipitation patterns.
Primary Sources
El Nino conditions likely to emerge by May-July 2026, says World ...
Updated: Apr 25, 2026 10:39 IST New Delhi [India], April 25 (ANI): The latest monthly Global Seasonal Climate Update issued by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) has indicated a clear shift in the Equatorial Pacific, with rapidly rising sea-surface temperatures pointing towards a likely return of El Nino conditions as early as May-July 2026.The report forecasted a "nearly global dominance of above-normal land surface temperatures" over the upcoming three-month period, along with notable regional variations in rainfall distribution across different parts of the world."After a period of neutral conditions at the start of the year, climate models are now strongly aligned, and there is high confidence in the onset of El Nino, followed by further intensification in the months that follow," said Wilfran Moufouma Okia, Chief of Climate Prediction at WMO."Models indicate that this may be a strong event, but the so-called spring predictability barrier is a challenge for the certainty of forecasts at this time of year. Forecast confidence generally improves after April," he added.El Nino and La Nina are opposite phases of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), one of the most powerful climate patterns on Earth. These events significantly influence global weather systems, reshaping rainfall, drought conditions, and extreme weather events across continents.El Nino is characterised by the warming of ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern Equatorial Pacific. It typically occurs every two to seven years and lasts around nine to twelve months. The WMO clarified that it does not use the term "super El Nino" as it is not part of standard operational classification.The agency noted that El Nino events typically have a warming effect on global climate patterns. It further highlighted that 2024 became the hottest year on record due to the combined impact of the powerful 2023-2024 El Nino and human-induced climate change."There is no evidence that climate change increases the frequency or intensity of El Nino events. But it can amplify associated impacts because a warmer ocean and atmosphere increase the availability of energy and moisture for extreme weather events such as heatwaves and heavy rainfall," the report said.El Nino conditions are typically associated with increased rainfall in parts of southern South America, the southern United States, the Horn of Africa and central Asia, while causing drought in Australia, Indonesia, and parts of southe...
El Nino conditions likely to emerge by May-July 2026, says World ...
New Delhi [India], April 25 (ANI): The latest monthly Global Seasonal Climate Update issued by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) has indicated a clear shift in the Equatorial Pacific, with rapidly rising sea-surface temperatures pointing towards a likely return of El Nino conditions as early as May-July 2026.The report forecasted a "nearly global dominance of above-normal land surface temperatures" over the upcoming three-month period, along with notable regional variations in rainfall distribution across different parts of the world."After a period of neutral conditions at the start of the year, climate models are now strongly aligned, and there is high confidence in the onset of El Nino, followed by further intensification in the months that follow," said Wilfran Moufouma Okia, Chief of Climate Prediction at WMO."Models indicate that this may be a strong event, but the so-called spring predictability barrier is a challenge for the certainty of forecasts at this time of year. Forecast confidence generally improves after April," he added.El Nino and La Nina are opposite phases of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), one of the most powerful climate patterns on Earth. These events significantly influence global weather systems, reshaping rainfall, drought conditions, and extreme weather events across continents.El Nino is characterised by the warming of ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern Equatorial Pacific. It typically occurs every two to seven years and lasts around nine to twelve months. The WMO clarified that it does not use the term "super El Nino" as it is not part of standard operational classification.The agency noted that El Nino events typically have a warming effect on global climate patterns. It further highlighted that 2024 became the hottest year on record due to the combined impact of the powerful 2023-2024 El Nino and human-induced climate change."There is no evidence that climate change increases the frequency or intensity of El Nino events. But it can amplify associated impacts because a warmer ocean and atmosphere increase the availability of energy and moisture for extreme weather events such as heatwaves and heavy rainfall," the report said.El Nino conditions are typically associated with increased rainfall in parts of southern South America, the southern United States, the Horn of Africa and central Asia, while causing drought in Australia, Indonesia, and parts of southern Asia. During the boreal summer...
El Nino may return by mid-2026 amid warming seas, says WMO
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has said that an El Nino event is likely to happen by the middle of 2026. The WMO's global seasonal climate update noted that the rising sea surface ...
An El Niño event is expected from mid-2026, impacting global ...
21 hours ago ... 717 likes, 4 comments - wmo_omm on April 24, 2026: "An El Niño event is expected from mid-2026, impacting global temperature and rainfall patterns. WMO's ...
