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US Job Growth Comparison (March vs April Forecast)
A visual comparison between March actual employment gains and the forecast for April.
Primary Sources
US employment report for April to shake the markets - FXStreet
The USD gained some ground in the FX market yesterday as safe haven inflows were created by renewed hostilities between the US and Iran. Despite the USD’s safe haven status, we highlight the release of the US employment report for April today. The NFP figure is expected to drop substantially, while the unemployment rate to remain unchanged, should the actual rates and figures show a tighter than expected US employment market, we may see the USD getting some support.Oil prices wobble after renewed hostilitiesOil prices edged higher yesterday as tensions between the US and Iran temporarily escalated. US President Trump though tended to downplay the rekindling of tensions and the rise of oil prices was short lived. We still see the market as pricing in a possible diplomatic resolution of the crisis and highlight US President Trump’s press conference later on.US stock market bulls hesitateThe renewed hostilities in the US-Iran conflict caused US stock markets to drop, as uncertainty emerged. We expect the situation to calm down and market confidence to be renewed, thus supporting US equities. Yet we also highlight the release of April’s US employment report later today and a possibly tighter-than-expected US employment market may weigh on US stock markets.Bitcoin correcting lowerBitcoin seems to correct lower, ahead of US President Trump’s speech later today. The renewal of tensions provided a dash of uncertainty in the markets, also possibly weighing on the crypto market. We also note that Strategy’s Saylor repeated that they will not be selling Bitcoin, yet the market seems to doubt that. Overall we see the drop of BTC as mostly technical currently.Other highlights for todayToday we get Germany’s industrial output for March, UK’s Halifax House Prices for April, Canada’s employment data April and the preliminary US UoM consumer sentiment for May. On a monetary level, we note that ECB’s Lagarde, De Guindos, Schnabel, BoE’s Breeden, Bailey and the Fed’s Cook are scheduled to speak. In Monday’s Asian session, we note the release of China’s inflation metrics for April. Charts to keep an eye outUSD/CAD rose yesterday, yet remained well within the boundaries set by the 1.3720 (R1) resistance line and the 1.3550 (S1) support level. As USD/CAD’s price action broke the downward trendline guiding it, we switch our bearish outlook in favour of a sideways motion for now. We note that the RSI indicator has risen, nearing the reading of 50, implying an easing of the market...
April's jobs report comes out today. Here's what to expect.
Business Insider Joe Raedle/Getty Images Live Updated 2026-05-08T11:40:02.413Z April's jobs report comes out today. Here's what to expect. It's jobs day in America, and everyone is waiting to see whether March's gangbuster employment growth continued in April.The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the jobs report at 8:30 a.m. ET, which is expected to show unemployment holding steady at 4.3% and job growth of 65,000, a respectable gain but below March's 178,000. Such an increase would put an end to an unusual 11-month-long back-and-forth stretch alternating between gains and losses. Continue to check back throughout the morning as we break down how the job market has looked and how new data shapes up. Copied! We're going to learn later this morning if Americans are still more frustrated with the economy than ever The University of Michigan will release preliminary May consumer sentiment data at 10 a.m. ET. April's final reading for the index of consumer sentiment was 49.8, down 6.6% from a month prior and the lowest on record.Gas prices are likely souring consumers' views of the economy, since they're broadcast on glowing signs across the country as Americans go about their daily lives and fill up at the pump. The University of Michigan will release preliminary May consumer sentiment data at 10 a.m. ET. April's final reading for the index of consumer sentiment was 49.8, down 6.6% from a month prior and the lowest on record.Gas prices are likely souring consumers' views of the economy, since they're broadcast on glowing signs across the country as Americans go about their daily lives and fill up at the pump."The Iran conflict appears to influence consumer views primarily through shocks to gasoline and potentially other prices," Joanne Hsu, the director of the surveys of consumers, said. "In contrast, military and diplomatic developments that do not lift supply constraints or lower energy prices are unlikely to buoy consumers." Copied! It's grad season, and young adults are facing a tough hiring situation Entering the job market is tricky right now. Finn Gomez/The Boston Globe via Getty Images Many college students are wrapping up finals and will walk across the stage at commencement. Economist Guy Berger said it's a hard job-search environment for new entrants to the workforce, but it's probably comparable to last year, and grads will need to spend more time looking than in the past."Young people have always been incredibly resilient; thi...
Strong April ADP jobs report hides major shift in U.S. employment
The monthly report, produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, showed that private-sector employment increased by 109,000 jobs last month, with small-business ...
Jobs Report Today: April Hiring, Unemployment Rate Forecasts; What the ...
Follow live news and analysis of the April jobs report, which the Bureau of Labor Statistics is due to release at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time on Friday.
