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thehill.com
Empowering Iranian people: Key to US victory - The Hill

The United States can win a war of attrition against Iran by empowering the Iranian people, imposing economic and geopolitical pressure, and aligning U.S. strategy with the aspirations of the Irani…

thehill.com
omidsouresrafil.substack.com
US Boots on the Ground in Iran Would Be a Catastrophe

President Donald Trump addressed the nation earlier this week on the escalating conflict with Iran. His words carried familiar resolve—promises of swift victory and the complete neutralization of Iranian threats. Yet the strategic reality paints a far grimmer picture: a potential quagmire that could dwarf previous American misadventures in the Middle East.The current confrontation traces back to late February 2026. In a coordinated campaign dubbed Operation Epic Fury, the United States and Israel conducted nearly 900 precision strikes across Iran. Targets included missile production facilities, air defense systems, suspected nuclear sites, and key leadership compounds. The Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was reportedly killed in the initial wave, alongside numerous senior military and political figures. Civilian casualties were immediate and severe—one strike alone on a girls’ school adjacent to a naval installation claimed over 170 lives. Iran responded with barrages of ballistic missiles and swarms of drones targeting US bases in the Gulf, Israeli territory, and allied infrastructure. Oil prices surged dramatically, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz faced disruptions, and the region teetered on the edge of broader chaos.One month into the fighting, the death toll among Iranians exceeds 2,000 according to multiple reports. American losses remain officially modest but are widely believed to be undercounted, especially following attacks on forward bases. Now, as ground forces begin to mass in neighboring countries, the question looms larger than ever: what happens if the United States puts boots on the ground inside Iran itself?The Perils of Ground Invasion: Lessons from History IgnoredAny discussion of American ground troops entering Iran must begin with geography and demographics. Iran is not a small desert emirate or a fractured state like post-2003 Iraq. It spans over 636,000 square miles—roughly the size of Alaska and California combined—with a population exceeding 90 million. Much of the terrain consists of rugged mountains, vast deserts, and urban sprawl designed by nature and history to favor defenders.The Iranian military, though degraded by weeks of airstrikes, retains significant asymmetric capabilities. Decades of sanctions have forced Tehran to develop indigenous drone technology, ballistic missiles, and a network of proxy forces across the region. More critically, Iran possesses a large, motivated population that has shown resilience in the fa...

omidsouresrafil.substack.com
rand.org
Trump's Iran War Is a Dilemma, Not a Debacle | RAND

Critics have compared the conflict to the United States' invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan, its intervention in the Korean War, Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and, of course, the most traumatic U.S. foreign-policy debacle, Vietnam. But the Iran war is not a debacle. It is a dilemma.

rand.org
theweek.in
Special forces vs Zagros mountains: Why ground invasion of Iran is a ...

US plans for a potential ground invasion of Iran face significant challenges due to Iran's rugged geography, complex layered defense system, and experienced military forces.

theweek.in