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Estimated Global Impact of Iran Conflict
Projected economic decline and social risk metrics due to the conflict.
Primary Sources
Will the Iran war push millions back into poverty? - Al Jazeera
Counting the CostUS-Israel war on Iran drives up fuel and food costs, putting 32.5 million people at risk of poverty worldwide.Fuel costs more. Food is harder to get or afford. Jobs are disappearing. Remittances are drying up.These are the consequences of the United States-Israel war on Iran – felt not only in the Middle East but also in the fields and homes of Africa and Asia.Countries in the Global South are particularly vulnerable to the economic fallout because of their dependence on imports from the Gulf.The United Nations warned that the conflict could push as many as 32.5 million people globally back into poverty.The war is weakening economies that were already fragile. Governments are scrambling, and international aid is becoming scarce.Published On 27 Apr 2026
Iran War Drives 30 Million Back Into Poverty, UN Chief Warns
Home Finance Iran war pushing more than 30 million back into poverty, UN development chief says Finance Iran war pushing more than 30 million back into poverty, UN development chief says Table of Contents UNDP Chief Highlights Dire Consequences of Iran War on Global PovertyFertilizer and Agricultural DisruptionsImpact on Crop YieldsFood Insecurity and Other FalloutGlobal Supply Chain VulnerabilitiesWarnings from International OrganizationsEconomic and Humanitarian ImpactsStrain on Humanitarian Efforts Iran War Will Push Over 30 Million People Back Into Poverty, Warns UNDP Chief By Panu Wongcha-um UNDP Chief Highlights Dire Consequences of Iran War on Global Poverty BANGKOK, April 23 (Reuters) - More than 30 million people will be pushed back into poverty by the impacts of the Iran war including disruptions to fuel and fertiliser supplies just as farmers are planting crops, U.N. development chief Alexander De Croo said on Thursday. Fertilizer and Agricultural Disruptions Fertiliser shortages - worsened by the blocking of cargo vessels through the Strait of Hormuz - have already lowered agricultural productivity, the Administrator of the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) told Reuters. Impact on Crop Yields That would likely hit crop yields later this year, the former Belgian prime minister added. Food Insecurity and Other Fallout "Food insecurity will be at its peak level in a few months - and there is not much that you can do about it," he said, also listing other fallouts of the crisis including energy shortages and falling remittances. "Even if the war would stop tomorrow, those effects, you already have them, and they will be pushing back more than 30 million people into poverty," he said. Global Supply Chain Vulnerabilities Much of the world's fertilizer is produced in the Middle East, and one-third of global supplies passes through the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran and the United States are jostling for control. Warnings from International Organizations Earlier this month, the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund and the U.N. World Food Programme warned that the war will drive up food prices, further burdening the world's most vulnerable populations. Economic and Humanitarian Impacts De Croo said the knock-on effects of the crisis have already wiped out an estimated 0.5% to 0.8% of global GDP. "Things that take decades to build up, it takes eight weeks of war to destroy them," he said. Strain on Humanitarian Efforts The crisis was also ...
JN: Iran war will push more than 30 million people back into poverty ...
JN: Iran war will push more than 30 million people back into poverty, says UN. · Comments.
UNDP chief: Iran war impacts to push millions into poverty - MSN
UNDP Administrator Alexander De Croo said the Iran war's effects on fuel and fertilizer supplies, especially through the Strait of Hormuz, will push more than 30 million people back into poverty ...
