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EU-China Trade Balance (Jan-Apr 2026)
Comparison of trade surplus figures for the specified period.
Primary Sources
As trade war with China looms, how can the EU defend itself? - AOL
As Chinese-made products are flooding the EU market and threatening thousands of jobs, the European Commission is stepping up its work to protect the bloc’s production from the risks of China’s excess production.The move comes as data from Chinese customs showed that, in the first four months of 2026, Beijing accumulated a surplus of $113 billion with the EU-27, up from $91 billion over the same period in 2025. The surplus widened by $22 billion over 12 month, while the EU’s trade deficit with China had already reached €359.9 billion in 2025.Pressure is also mounting on Brussels as Beijing has repeatedly threatened retaliation in recent weeks over several EU laws limiting access to the single market for Chinese companies.On Friday, China also banned these companies from engaging with the Commission over EU foreign subsidy investigations.To address the China issue and try to restore a level playing field, EU Commissioners are set to debate the matter on 29 May. What options does Europe have on the table?1. Cutting dependence on Chinese componentsThe Financial Times reported on Monday that a plan to force EU companies to buy critical components from at least three different suppliers was in the pipeline at the European Commission.The idea would be to set thresholds of around 30% to 40% for what can be bought from a single supplier, with the rest having to be sourced from at least three different suppliers, not all from the same country.The proposal comes after China last year restricted exports of rare earths and chips, which are critical for key EU industries such as green tech, cars and defence.2. Targeting strategic sectors with tariffsIn its economic security strategy presented last December, the European Commission also said it would present new tools by September 2026 to strengthen the protection of EU industry from unfair trade policies and overcapacities.“We will fight tooth and nail for every European job, for every European company, for every open sector, if we see they are treated unfairly,” EU Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič told Euronews.A decision to impose new quotas and double tariffs on global steel imports, dominated by Chinese overcapacities, was already agreed by EU countries and the European Parliament in April.Now the chemical industry is in the spotlight. Chinese chemical imports have surged 81% over five years. But the EU chemical sector also relies on exports abroad, including to China, the industry’s fourth export market, which ma...
Bitter Harvest: Diagnosing and Deterring Chinese Coercive ... - CSIS
Such shifts are not cheap, even when the same kind of land can theoretically be used to grow different crops. Business models, supplier and distributor relationships, equipment, fixed capital requirements, and domain expertise all tend to be somewhat crop-specific, creating friction for businesses seeking to change their acreage. This helps explain why some industries react more slowly than expected to rising geopolitical risk; cost-benefit analyses for product diversification should not underestimate these costs. Yet policymakers can ease some of these barriers by adjusting policy incentives, as discussed below.Last, as policymakers (particularly those in Washington) consider how to reduce the risk of Chinese economic coercion, it is worth pointing out that U.S. agricultural subsidies have created structural incentives to concentrate farming in crops (particularly soybeans) that depend on Chinese buyers. This is a policy choice just as much as it is an outcome of market forces. After Beijing curtailed its U.S. soybean imports in 2018, Washington deployed $28 billion in relief packages to farmers—a pattern repeated in 2025 with an additional $12 billion bailout. The costs of such measures add to the subsidy burden already shouldered by U.S. taxpayers to maintain this commercial relationship. Soy and other agricultural exports to China have yielded benefits to the U.S. economy outside of the current trade war context, but an honest assessment of future agricultural policy should weigh these benefits against the opportunity costs of not having a more diversified agricultural sector. RecommendationsAgricultural import restrictions are a convenient and impactful part of China’s economic statecraft tool kit. In an era of heightened geopolitical risk, policymakers should work closely with agricultural industries to reduce exposure to coercive pressure campaigns via lost export revenue.This paper’s analysis does not suggest that all agricultural producers should pivot to new markets and stop selling their goods to China. Chinese demand has been an economic boon to agricultural producers around the world, and abandoning the Chinese market entirely would likely result in net economic welfare loss (in other words, making the world worse off in aggregate).Thus, a response to rising geopolitical risk should recalibrate trade-offs between efficiency and resilience in industries with heightened exposure, rather than aim to completely remove all risk. This research sugge...
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The U.S.-China Trade Relationship: What's Behind the Competition?
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