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China will benefit from the Iran war, regardless of any deal between ...
The war in Iran has made China's future posture in the Gulf more uncertain. Some analysts have rushed to conclude that the war has revealed China's absence and proved that the US is the only reliable security partner for the Gulf states. Others claim that the war has pushed Gulf states closer to ...
Can China help end the war in Iran when Xi Jinping and Donald Trump ...
The United States and Iran have been in a conditional ceasefire for nearly a month, after US President Donald Trump extended the initial two-week truce on April 21 to allow more time for peace negotiations.The prospect of a long-term peace settlement remains highly uncertain as Trump signaled that he would not accept the latest 14-point proposal presented by Tehran, with both sides threatening further escalation. It comes at a time when Trump is preparing for his first visit to China and meeting with President Xi Jinping in less than two weeks. The original trip, scheduled in late March, was postponed by Washington due to the ongoing military operations against Iran.If the tension in the Middle East persists, Beijing may become an increasingly crucial force that could potentially determine the outcomes of peace talks, and both Washington and Tehran would likely seek after Beijing’s backing.Iran’s economic lifelinesFirst of all, China is Iran’s critical financial backer. About 90 percent of its oil exports went to China before the war started, and a considerable amount of oil continued to flow to China until it was disrupted by the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.The US has also suggested that China had provided Iran with dual-use technology and sodium perchlorate, a vital ingredient for solid-fuel missile propellant. Beijing has denied such claims.China’s financial, material, and strategic backing of Iran gives it greater leverage to pressure Tehran to reach a deal with Washington.It is also in Beijing’s interests to end the war as soon as possible. The impact of the oil shock on the country’s economy and people’s livelihood has begun to show.On the other hand, the US is also hoping to end the war on better terms, especially on the nuclear issue. Russian President Vladimir Putin, meanwhile, has also offered to keep Iran’s highly enriched uranium as a compromise.China’s leverage on Iran may be something Trump is looking after, but that could also mean he would need to make concessions on some key issues of Beijing’s concerns.‘Grand bargain’ on Taiwan?In his latest phone call with US Secretary of State Marco Rubio on April 30, Foreign Minister Wang Yi emphasized that the Taiwan question bears China’s core interest, and urged Washington to “make the right choice, to open up new space for China-US cooperation and make due efforts for world peace.”There has been speculation that there may be a “grand bargain” over Taiwan at the Xi-Trump summit, and the Iran...
Beijing's approach to the conflict in Iran and its implications for China
As the war in Iran enters its third month, Brookings assembled five scholars with a range of views to assess two questions. First, has the conflict in Iran been helpful, harmful, or neutral for China?
Iran evaluating US proposal to end war as China calls for peace
Iran is evaluating a new proposal from the US to end their near 10-week war, according to a person familiar with the matter, as China added its voice to global pressure to wrap up the conflict.
